Oooooh…………..three by-elections tonight………here’s my guide for those still up at 2am:
CORBY: Easy Labour gain. UKIP should do well here and will push close for second place. BNP got 5% last time but will do badly here. No leftie candidates.
CARDIFF SOUTH AND PENARTH: Robert Griffiths of the Communist Party and veteran of the Welsh Socialist Republican Socialist Party should get a few hundred being a local lad but likely to be outpolled by Scargill’s paper SLP candidate who has never even bothered to show up in the constituency. Remarkable. Labour hold.
MANCHESTER CENTRAL: Easy Labour hold. Was to have been exciting follow up to Bradford Spring for Respect till Galloway imploded and lost Kate and Salma but still managed to stick a candidate together. For the first time TUSC and RESPECT go against each other so that’ll be interesting to se who wins the contest. Bizarrely also standing are the Communist League – followers of the American Sociialist Workers party Pathfinder tendency – if they win I’ll………………
So five different leftie outfits standing all shouting ‘U nity comrades’ no doubt.
Up next are Rotherham and Croydon North. Rotherham interesting cos of 10% BNP vote last time and have managed to keep same candidate and Respect have Yvonne Ridley standing hoping for the Bradford Spring effect……..so quite a polarised vote then. Labout may pay for Denis McShane’s crimes. ….really last chance saloon for BNP who have got lucky for once.
Croydon North: Should be shoe in for Labour but UKIP’s candidate WINSTON McKENZIE cleaning up the local black vote to the cost of Lee Jasper for Respect. Winston is a likeable bloke and has been workig the seat hard for years. I reckon he will come second and UKIP’s besr ever vote in inner city area. I have just walked round one of the local shopping aress and seen 26 window stickers for Winston and two each for Labour and Lee Jasper. The trick is how does Winston get gthe small black businesses to support his anti-immigration line? By concentrating on Europhobia. simples.