May 22nd – European elections September 18th – Scotland’s independence referendum
I expect UKIP to do very well in the Euro elections in England and create momentum to carry them through to the general election in 2015. Their success will move both Tories and Labour further to the right….creating a big space on the Left
I have no idea how the Scot’s referendum will turn out – but let’s suppose a YES vote. This will deliver a serious blow to Labour and virtually ensure a Tory/UKIP majority in England for the foreseeable future.
So come general election 2015 prospects will be bleak. The only Left force on offer will be TUSC/NO2EU promoting a shrill anti-Europeanism in a misguided attempt to grab the UKIP vote and dated policies on nationalisation straight out of the Ark. The same TUSC that despite all its efforts always gets beaten at the polls by Arthur Scargill’s phantom Socialist Labour Party.
Which leaves a CLASS WAR campaign which may look to some hopeless at present in a transformed political landscape with suddenly every hope of making a significant and populist intervention from the Left.